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as reported in Table 4.7. We are 95% con dent that the odds ratio for churning for customers with high customer service calls compared to customers with low customer service calls lies between 6.29 and 11.0. Since the interval does not include e0 = 1, the relationship is signi cant with 95% con dence. However, consider the 95% con dence interval for the odds ratio between CSC-Med and CSC-Low: exp b1 z SE(b1 ) = exp [ 0.0369891 (1.96)(0.117701)] = (e 0.2677 , e0.1937 ) = (0.77, 1.21) as reported in Table 4.7. We are 95% con dent that the odds ratio for churning for customers with medium customer service calls compared to customers with low customer service calls lies between 0.77 and 1.21. Since this interval does include e0 = 1, the relationship is not signi cant with 95% con dence. Depending on other modeling factors, the analyst may consider collapsing CSC-Med and CSC-Low into a single category.

Progress in our understanding of borderline personality disorder has been impressive over the past several decades. A nearly untreatable disorder littered with iatrogenic outcomes at the time of its discovery in 1938 (Stern, 1938), borderline personality disorder now bears a relatively sanguine prognosis. Millon s (1969) seminal theoretical work marked a turning point in the history of the disorder. Currently, psychodynamic, cognitive-behavioral, dialectical behavioral, and client-centered therapies have shown dramatic results. As a rough guideline, a meta-analytic review of 15 outcome studies for personality disorders suggests that personality disorders remit at seven times the rate when given focused, specific treatments, as opposed to running their natural course or receiving typical community care; the majority of studies reviewed were for BPD (Perry, Banon, & Ianni, 1999). The meta-analysis also showed that after 2 years of treatment, 75% of the participants no longer met the criteria for a personality disorder. Millon s newly developed therapy, personality guided therapy (Millon, 1999) promises further improvements in conceptualization and treatment. Even with such tremendous accomplishments, we still have a long way to go. Even the person who is remitted (no longer meets the criteria for the disorder) still generally has several residual symptoms. A person could no longer meet the criteria for BPD but still suffer from chronic emptiness, frantically avoid abandonment, and engage in impulsive, self-damaging acts. Such an individual may still be suffering greatly. Until the average person with the disorder can obtain complete relief or, better yet, the disorder can be prevented then the research must continue.

Visual communication is very important to blue tits Parus caeruleus when they forage in ocks during the winter months When two blue tits meet at a food source during the winter, they may feed amicably side by side If however the food item that they have found is not easily divisible, they are likely to ght over it Fights between blue tits are common, but you might easily overlook them if your idea of a ght is something along the lines of a human experience of physical contact through kicks and punches Physical ghts do occur between blue tits, but they are very rare In fact during a program of observations that involved close to 3000 agonistic contests (as ghts are known in the behavioral jargon) between birds, I saw less than 30 of them.

I expect that based on this observation the same two questions that immediately occurred to me will have occurred to you why are physical ghts rare and, how were the other 2970 or so contests resolved The answer to the rst of these questions is an intuitively obvious one As physical ghting is potentially costly in terms of energy expenditure and risk of injury we would expect natural selection to favor the evolution of contest resolution mechanisms that avoid it The answer to the second question is in two parts Some blue tits will avoid contests completely by simply giving way to one another For example, a female bird will almost always abandon a food source when a male arrives In this context it would appear that males have dominance with respect to females And in the jargon of the eld we might say that the male supplanted the female.

But when two birds of the same sex meet this simple rule cannot be used In such a situation blue tits achieve contest resolution through the performance of ritualized visual displays (Fig 54) Interacting birds posture to one another during contests and it is generally assumed that the birds use information encoded in these displays to make decisions about when to quit the eld and when to continue the contest (Plate 52) As an aside we might expect the selective value of resolving disputes without physical ghting to increase as the potential the combatants have to do real harm to one another increases..

Year 3 $293,000 158,000 451,000 ( 133,000) $318,000